DFS building blocks, values ​​and a star that will fade

Justin Fields is a top DFS option to build lineups in Week 16. (Photo by Frank Janski/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Regardless of whether you have played Daily Fantasy at Yahoo! before or trying it for the first time, this weekly column will explore the DFS landscape, revealing who I like to build lineups around, stars that are fading, underrated plays and bargain bin options to help you build a better team.

Building blocks of composition

Justin Fields ($31) vs. Arizona Cardinals

Fields deserved a lot more last week in a tough game in Cleveland and got a much easier setup on Sunday. He should regress to a touchdown on the ground, as he’s averaging 11.3 rushing attempts over his last six games and gets an Arizona defense allowing the third-most according to the schedule fantasy points at quarterback over the past five weeks. Fields is a QB to build DFS lineups during a roster that is missing most of its stars at the position.

Raheem Mostert ($26) vs. Dallas Cowboys

Mostert has more touchdowns this year (20) than in his previous eight seasons in the league (19). He has scored 13 of them in seven games at home, where the Dolphins are averaging 35.9 points. Mostert is Miami’s undisputed lead, seeing 71 percent of the snaps before halftime last week, later giving way to De’Von Achane on the snap. Mostert leads the NFL in carries inside the 10 and 5 yard lines and is here for fantasy managers.

The Cowboys may be focused on fixing their defense after getting gashed by the Bills last week, but the game script could be in the Dolphins’ favor with Dak Prescott in mind struggles on the road. Mostert should get a good workload with Tyreek Hill battling an ankle injury and Miami has the highest implied team in the DFS standings.

Rachaad White ($28) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

White has seen just two targets in three of his last four games, but the increased rushing load (and two TD catches on his last four targets) continues lead to big fantasy weeks. Tampa Bay has played four of its last five games on the road, but returns home Sunday to face a mediocre Jacksonville defense. The Buccaneers are (slight) favorites and could face a favorable game scenario if Trevor Lawrence (concussion) sits.

Star to Fade

Travis Etienne Jr. ($27) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Etienne is the No. 3 fantasy prospect in scoring this season, but he’s the team’s RB29 in ppg since Week 9. He is exhausted due to the heavy workload (Jacksonville had the right idea to draft a back, but just picked the wrong one) and to the Jaguars the screenplay is among the worst in the league. Etienne gets a Buccaneers defense allowing the fifth-fewest schedule-adjusted fantasy points to running backs, and Jacksonville could struggle badly if/when Lawrence sits.

Underrated options

Trey McBride ($21) @ Chicago Bears

McBride has averaged 9.1 targets and 77.4 receiving yards in seven games since Zach Ertz went on IR (and subsequently released). He was the No. 2 fantasy tight end and ranks first at the position in target share, route run targets and route run yards since taking over Arizona’s starting role. McBride has a 31% target share from Kyler Murray after the QB’s return in Week 10, as tight end usage is equivalent to a top wide receiver. He is real deal and gets the Bears defense giving up the third-most schedule-adjusted fantasy points to tight ends this season.

Aaron Jones ($21) @ Carolina Panthers

Jones saw 17 of 21 opportunities for Green Bay RB in his return last week, including six in the red zone and three in the five. It didn’t lead to much fantasy play, but it was an encouraging load nonetheless. AJ Dillon is out with a broken thumb, while Christian Watson and Jaden Reid are also dealing with injuries. Jones could see an expanded role Sunday in a favorable matchup against the Panthers’ funnel defense, allowing the fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks but the third-most to running backs. The Packers are 4.5-point favorites, so Jones is undervalued in DFS.

This embedded content is not available in your region.

Nick Mullens ($23) vs. Detroit Lions

Mullens was a top 12 fantasy QB last week and is averaging 8.4 YPA since taking over as Minnesota’s QB. He gets a home game against Detroit’s pass-funnel defense, which has yielded the second-fewest fantasy points to running backs but the fourth-most to quarterbacks this season. Mullens will continue to benefit from the throwing of a healthy Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison and TJ Hockenson, and last week’s sudden success is unlikely to repeat itself on Sunday. The Vikings have the eighth-highest implied team in the table, but Mullens’ salary is near the DFS minimum.

Bargain bin

Tucker Kraft ($10) @ Carolina Panthers

Kraft has been a top-10 fantasy tight end in two of the four weeks since Luke Musgrave went on IR, running almost all of Green Bay’s routes. He’s expecting higher targets this week with Watson and Reed both hit (and Dontayvion Weeks reportedly playing with a high ankle sprain), so Kraft’s salary just seems misjudged as minimal.

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *