NFL Thanksgiving Day Odds, How To Watch, Streaming: Expert Picks, Best Bets, Teasers, Survivor Picks & More

How about a little football dinner for Thanksgiving? The NFL has a triple whammy on deck for Thursday’s holiday, and it includes a number of playoff hopefuls and Super Bowl threats. In fact, the .650 winning percentage between these teams is second biggest as the league expanded to three games on Thanksgiving. Five of the six teams playing on Thanksgiving also own a league-leading winning record.

Like every week for the entire table, we’ve gathered all the best Thanksgiving picks and gambling content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine and put them in one place so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS Sports experts as and additional featured content for each game, including plays from SportsLine’s top experts and the SportsLine projection model, our staff’s best bets, survivor picks and more.

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

What choices can you make with confidence in week 12? And which Super Bowl contender falls hard? Visit SportsLine as its amazing model simulates every NFL play 10,000 times and is almost $7,000 for $100 players in the NFL’s highest-rated picks since its inception.

Time: Thursday, 12:30pm ET (CBS), streaming on Paramount+ (click here)
open: Accounts -10
Current: Accounts -9.5

Featured game | Detroit Lions vs. Buffalo Bills

“It’s a prerequisite for a game with a lot of offense. Both teams can score, but the Bills can really score. They will put up a big number here as Josh Allen won his second straight game in Detroit after beating the Browns last week in the same building. The track is fast and the bills can fly. The lions will not last.” — Pete Prisco, CBS Sports Senior NFL Analysthas the Bills covering a 9.5 point spread and this game going well over the 54.5 total.

“The Lions have been rolling the last few weeks, but it’s just hard for me to bet against Josh Allen with that line under double digits. Yes, Detroit’s defense played better in their previous three games, but that was against the Packers, Bears and Giants. Buffalo’s offense is a completely different animal. Allen has historically played well on Thanksgiving as the Bills are 2-0 SU in both games and the QB has registered a 100+ passer rating in each contest. While I believe Buffalo’s offense can get into the 30s indoors at Ford Field, I don’t see the Lions doing that in this setting. Specifically, I have my doubts because of the defense in front of Jared Goff. Detroit ranked as the 24th pass blocking team in the NFL this season, according to Pro Football Focus. Meanwhile, Buffalo is the third-best pass rushing team in the league by the same ranking system.” — CBS Sports’ Tyler Sullivan why he takes the Bills -9.5 as one of his best bets for Week 12.

“Allen has actually only crossed that line once in the last four games but I think he’s hitting the Over here against a poor defence. The star quarterback is averaging a career-high 293 passing yards per game this season.” — CBS Sports NFL betting guru Jordan Dayani on why he likes Josh Allen to surpass his 281.5 passing yards at -127.

“On paper, this looks like a game the Lions have no chance of winning, but if I’ve learned one thing in my life about picking NFL games, it’s that teams always win when you think they have zero chance of winning , especially when they’re coached by a guy whose most famous quote involves biting off kneecaps I have no idea what Dan Campbell is eating at his house on Thanksgiving, but there’s a 50% chance it’s kneecaps.

“The big problem in this game for the Lions is that they have one of the worst defenses in the NFL this year and they will be playing a Bills offense that is one of the best. The Lions have given up the most yards per game and the most points per game, and that’s definitely not a good combination when the team you’re playing against is second in both scoring and yards per game.

“If this game had been played four weeks ago, I probably would have picked the Bills by 30, but the Lions are suddenly one of the hottest teams in football. If you combine that with the fact that the Bills were in a slight offensive rut, it’s the recipe for a game that could go down to the wire. I told you we were going to talk about recipes.” — CBS Sports NFL writer and co-host of the Pick Six Podcast John Breech on why he’s picking the Bills to narrowly beat the Lions, 30-27.

Time: Thursday, 4:30pm ET (Fox), stream on fuboTV (try for free)
open: Cowboys -7
Current: Cowboys -9

Featured game | Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

“It’s a setup for a Cowboys loss, in almost identical fashion to Dallas’ 40-3 win over Minnesota just a few days ago. New York showed some cracks in its core in the loss to Detroit and lost several key contributors, including top cornerback Adoree’ Jackson. That should allow the Cowboys’ offense to keep roaring, but it’s their defense that can really put the game away. The Giants are allowing the second-highest pressure rate (45%) in the NFL this season, while the Cowboys are putting the most pressure on opposing quarterbacks in the league. In Week 3, Dallas pressured Daniel Jones 27 times in the win, the third most of any game this season. With the Giants as hard-hitting as Dallas playing at a championship-caliber level, they’ll win this one by double digits.” — CBS Sports NFL Writer Tyler Sullivan why he’s taking Dallas to defend against New York as one of his five shots for the week.

The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL play 10,000 times, enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season with a stunning 155-109 score in the highest-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. Now the model is staring down six legs for Thanksgiving, which would pay almost 50-1. One of those milestones is scoring over 45 points in the Cowboys-Giants game. As for the rest, you’ll have to go to SportsLine.

“When these two teams met in Week 3, the Cowboys won 23-16 and it was Cooper Rush. In this game, the Cowboys sacked Daniel Jones five times and sacked him once, and I think we’ll see more of the same on Thursday. The Cowboys have won 10 of the last 11 games in this series, and I don’t see that dominance ending this week.

“This is the first time these two teams have played on Thanksgiving since 1992. 30 years ago, the Cowboys destroyed the Giants 30-3 and then won the Super Bowl two months later. I’m not saying it’s going to happen this year, but I’m not saying that.” — John Breach of CBS Sports why he likes the Cowboys to beat the Giants, 31-17.

“The Giants are coming off a terrible performance at home against the Lions, which means they may have been looking ahead to this one. The Cowboys put things right in their win over the Vikings. The defense dominated and will dominate here as well. The Giants are too limited on offense.” — CBS Sports Senior NFL Analyst Pete Prisco says the Cowboys’ defense will lead them to victory again.

Broncos at Titans

Time: Thursday, 8:20pm ET (NBC), stream on fuboTV (try for free)
open: Vikings -3.5
Current: Vikings -3

Featured game | Minnesota Vikings vs. New England Patriots

The SportsLine projection model has simulated the NFL’s Thanksgiving Day games 10,000 times and examined dozens of player props from the Caesars sportsbook. We can tell you that the model says that Vikings WR Jefferson passes for 88.5 receiving yards (-117), with the model projecting him to finish with an average of 99. However, the model also says that another star flies over the total his yard and offers one prop with the payment of plus money. To see what they are, check out SportsLine.

“Now this is the most intriguing Thanksgiving game for me. The last time the Patriots played on Thanksgiving, they beat the New York Jets 49-19 in the “Butt Fumble” game. Speaking of beating the Jets, that’s what the Patriots did last week on an 84-yard punt return touchdown with just five seconds left in the fourth quarter. They looked like the better team all afternoon, but it took an incredibly long time for them to prove it. I thought Mack Jones was fine. He completed 23 of 27 passes for 246 yards, Jones’ highest completion percentage this season (85.2%). Wind played a role in this game, but the defense was outstanding. They sacked Zach Wilson four times and allowed just 103 yards In the rankings of the teams competing for the AFC wild card spots, I actually have the Patriots at No. 2. They could go on in the second half – just like they did last year.

“As for the Vikings, yes, that 40-3 loss to the Cowboys is going to take some time to get over. Still, they can take a page out of the Cowboys’ playbook and force everyone to forget about it with a dominating win on Thanksgiving. Even with Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson, I can’t help but be impressed with New England’s defense. This unit has allowed just 7.7 points per game over the last three contests and is allowing a 19% conversion rate on third downs over that same span. The Patriots own the second-highest rushing percentage in the NFL this season, while the Vikings are allowing the fifth-highest rushing percentage. I will say that of the three Thanksgiving contests, I’m the least confident in this one when it comes to picking a side. I’ll take the Patriots to surprise here and I like the Over.” — Jordan Dayani of CBS Sports smacks of an upset in Minnesota as the Patriots SU beat the Vikings in the Thanksgiving final while also hitting the Over.

RJ White, fantasy and gambling editor for CBS Sports, consistently ranks as SportsLine’s #1 NFL expert. In addition to owning 445-378-24 on his ATS picks from 2017-21, he was especially sharp when it came to the Vikings. In his last 84 picks involving Minnesota, White is 52-28-4 (+$2,053), so you’ll definitely want to know where he’s headed on Thursday night. To view this pick, go to SportsLine.

“The Vikings were embarrassed Sunday at home by being blown out by the Cowboys. They will come back and play better here. New England’s offense is struggling, but the defense is playing well. However, I think the Vikings will respond offensively in this one to win it. The Patriots offense is bad.” — CBS Sports Senior NFL Analyst Pete Prisco on why he had the Vikings beat New England by 10 in the Thanksgiving finale.

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