Penn State vs. Ole Miss Predictions, Latest Odds

Every top-15 program featured productive quarterbacks this season.

The 2023 Peach Bowl features two programs from powerhouse conferences: the No. 10-ranked Penn State Nittany Lions and the No. 11-ranked Ole Miss Rebels.

Penn State finished third in the Big Ten East for the second year in a row. Again, the Nittany Lions couldn’t get past Ohio State or Michigan, losing both games by a combined 17 points. By comparison, Penn State has outscored opponents 419-93 in their other 10 games. Quarterback Drew Allar stepped up in his first full season as a starter, throwing for 23 touchdowns to just one interception in 12 games.

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Penn State boasts the third-best punt defense in the FBS, but will be without top passer Chop Robinson, who opted out of the game with the NFL draft in mind. Offensive lineman Olu Fashanu, another projected top pick in the NFL draft, is in Atlanta for the Peach Bowl but has not yet decided whether or not he will play in the game.

Ole Miss has also fared well over the rest of its schedule, outside of losses to SEC powers Alabama and Georgia. The Rebels clawed their way to the edge of the top 10 thanks to one of the best offenses in the FBS. Junior quarterback Jackson Dart had the best season of his career in 2023 with a career-high 161.9 passer rating as the Rebels’ offense finished the regular season ranked 14th in the FBS in yards per play. Only one big name opted out of the game for the Rebels: defensive end Cedric Johnson, who declared for the NFL Draft.

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For the first time, the two programs will meet on the football field. Penn State seeks second game win in three seasons; Ole Miss has not won a bowl game since the 2020 Outback Bowl.

2023 Peach Bowl: Penn State vs. Ole Miss Predictions

Sports betting wire: Penn State 32, Ole Miss 21

Peyton Shanks writes: “Both Penn State and Ole Miss are very good offensively as both teams are averaging north of 34 PPG this season. Both teams can score either through the rush or the offense… It’s only a stretch because Penn State’s defense is good enough to hold the Rebels under 20 points and the Rebels have struggled offensively in 2 of their last 3 regular season game.”

Mississippi Clarion-Ledger: Ole Miss 24, Penn State 20

David Eckert says, “What’s interesting is that for a program built on the transfer portal, the Rebels may have the advantage of continuity given the turnover of Penn State’s coaching staff. They’re also more explosive on offense and have an edge at the quarterback position with Jackson Strela.”

Sports Illustrated: Penn State 24, Ole Miss 20

James Parks writes: “While the Nittany Lions will struggle to move the ball consistently through the air — quarterback Drew Aller has hit less than half of his passes in three games, two of which he lost — they have the backfield duo of Nicholas Singleton and Kytron Allen , to handle longer drives against the Rebels’ 71st-ranked run stop.”

Action Network: Penn State -4.5 or better

Collin Wilson says, “The loss of Cedric Johnson on the defensive line leaves Ole Miss with the best pass rusher after he created 34 tackles on the season. Allen and Singleton will have a lot of success creating a short third down, while Allar will continue to take advantage of the type of quarterback coverage Ole Miss employs.” Penn State 28, Ole Miss 21

Corey Long writes: “Much has been made of Penn State’s struggles against Ohio State and Michigan under James Franklin, but Ole Miss is just 3-5 against the spread against Top 10 teams under Kiffin. Both programs are looking for a signature win, and while this game won’t provide exactly that, it will be a good springboard into 2024.”

2023 Peach Bowl: Penn State vs. Ole Miss Odds

The Nittany Lions are favorites to beat the Rebels, according to BetMGM NCAA odds. Looking to bet? Check out the best mobile sports betting apps offering 2023 NCAA betting promotions.

Betting odds as of Friday afternoon:

  • Distribution: Penn State (-4.5)
  • Money line: Penn State (-200); Ole Miss (+165)
  • Over/Under: 50.5

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