Premier League Betting Power Rankings – Matchweek 11

Week 11 of the Premier League features a handful of intriguing fixtures in terms of the table, but there is intrigue in every game for sports bettors.
Will Manchester United show something after their Old Trafford derby blow last weekend? The Red Devils have been average at best all season. On Saturday, they may feel like they are looking in the mirror as they take to the pitch at Craven Cottage.
Will Aston Villa surprisingly continue their pursuit of a Top 4 spot? Forest will need to turn the tide in what has been a disappointing start at the City Ground if they are to slow down the Villains.
The match of the weekend is at St James’ Park on Sunday, with Newcastle hosting Arsenal. Can Newcastle stifle the Gunners’ attack?
Gameweek 11 concludes on Monday with table-toppers Tottenham and Chelsea. The Blues’ strange inability to finish must find a way if they are to take points from a Spurs side that is a perfect 4-0-0 at home on the season.
Here’s a bet for each side on each match for Week 11 in the Premier League.

If you’re looking for a traditional Premier League power ranking, click here to view Jo Price-Wright’s column.


Have Wolves ever sat on top of any PL table before this list? Regardless, Wolverhampton have been a much better team in the second half of games this season with an average goal after the break. On Saturday they visit Sheffield United, who have conceded 10 goals in 5 home games. Wolves scoring OVER 1.5 goals at half time (+270) will be a real deal, but the value is too great not to play.

Bet the Edge is your source for the day in sports betting. Get all the ideas from Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsik Tuesday through Saturday at 6am ET right here or wherever you get your podcasts.


The Bees have won their last 13 London derbies. West Ham are coming off the back of an emotional and hard fought win over Arsenal in the Carabao Cup earlier this week. We bet they have a little left in the tank for Brentford. Bees to win at home (+110).

Aston Villa

Villains take an average of 6.1 corners/game. Forest concede 6.7 corners/match. The bet is Aston Villa OVER 5.5 corners (-120).


OVER 2.5 Total goals reach 80% during the Reds’ away games. They visit a superior Luton Town ready to clear that number themselves.


Spurs with a perfect 4-0 at home. Chelsea bring their flawed attack to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Monday. Spurs ML (+110) and OVER 1.5 goals (-110) look solid.

Manchester United

The Red Devils are a mediocre club at the moment. They visit Fulham, another mediocre club. The only consistency with these teams is their inconsistency. Everyone struggles in the first 45′. A zero first half (+195) is reasonable.

Sheffield United

OVER 2.5 goals (-125) in Sheffield games reach 80%. If you believe the Wolves bet laid out earlier, the logic follows.

Luton Town

The Hatters were held to three goals in four games at Kenilworth Road. In fact, they are yet to score more than one goal in any of those four. Luton Town to score UNDER 0.5 goals (+105).

Manchester City

Can always run confidently with Erling Haaland to score the first goal (+170) against a Bournemouth side struggling in their own part of the road (2.75GA). City OVER 1.5 first half goals (+115) is a fair look.


The Gunners’ attack is traveling but this week they visit St James’ Park where Newcastle have scored just three goals in five games. Two games worth checking out are Arsenal UNDER 0.5 First Half Goals (+100) and the sweatier UNDER 4.5 Corners (+115).


Let’s continue to sweat the corner market with the blues. They bring their anemic attack to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, where Spurs dominate time of possession (63%). Chelsea UNDER 4.5 corners (-105).

Bet the Edge is your source for the day in sports betting. Get all the ideas from Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsik Tuesday through Saturday at 6am ET right here or wherever you get your podcasts.


They may be 2-0-2 on the road, but that’s not due to a lack of second-half goals. Brighton have scored seven second-half goals in just four games away from the Goldstone Ground. They visit Everton on Saturday. Goodison Park has seen the home club score just once in the second half of five games. Brighton to win the second half (+138).

Nottingham Forest

The City Ground has been anything but kind to the Reds, who have just one home win from four attempts. However, BTTS (-150) has been successful in all four of those games.


The Clarets have played at Turf Moor five times this year. Their opponents in those five include Spurs, Aston Villa and Man City. They take a step down in class this weekend when Palace (1G in last 6GP) take to the pitch at Turf Moor. UNDER 2.5 Total Goals (-160) is worth splurging on.


Few clubs lock him down in their own end of their pitch like Newcastle. The Magpies have conceded just three goals at home. Arsenal will test this defence, which in turn means less attacking time for Newcastle. UNDER 2.5 Total Goals (-120) is a strange play in an Arsenal match but applicable here.


Cherries have been a disappointment this season. As a guest, Bournemouth conceded 11 goals. As a result, OVER 3.5 Total goals are redeemed at 75%. Enter Man City, led by Erling Haaland, who we bet on earlier. Let’s go with OVER 3.5 total goals (-130) and hope City stay motivated to score for most of the full 90 minutes.

Crystal Palace

It’s been a tale of two halves for the Eagles this season. They are 2-1-2, scoring four goals and allowing eight. Three of the four goals scored came after the break. Burnley is a slow player as we have documented. We put a splash on UNDER 2.5 Total Goals. To double and play UNDER 0.5 Total goals for the first half (+150).


Goodison Park hasn’t seen many attacks in second halves this season. The Caramels have scored one goal in their five home games. As previously mentioned, Brighton’s attack has been flat this season, averaging almost two goals in the second half of road contests. We’ve already tipped Brighton to win the second half, but we expect it to be tight. UNDER 1.5 goals (+100) in the second half is suitable.


The Cottagers, like their rivals Man United, were unimpressive. The Red Devils get more headlines for their mediocrity. Each club is 1-4-5 in the first half and 4-2-4 in the second half. Fulham struggled to score at home. In fact, they are yet to score in the first half at Craven Cottage. Man United have scored just one goal in the second half of their four away games. Hold your nose and think UNDER 2.5 total goals (-110).

West Ham United

Assuming West Ham are exhausted, or at least tired, after beating the Gunners earlier this week and getting off to a slow start, it wouldn’t be a surprise if the Hammers were wiped out in the first half (-165). Not much value, but it makes sense.

Enjoy match week 11 and enjoy the sweat.

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