If the story is some guide, it happens next

Recently Bitcoin May 22. Reached a new height of all time-112,000.
Based on historical evidence, Bitcoin tends to follow four -year cycles, which were given by the periods of uplifting and bust.
Bitcoin performance in 2025 Is extremely similar to his performance in 2021. Bull Market rally.
10 shares we like more than Bitcoin ›

May 22, Bitcoin (Crypto: BTC) Achieve a new top of all time-$ 112,000. Now, with the total market limit of $ 2.2 trillion, it is now one of the five most valuable wealth in the world, only following the following An apple (Nasdaq: aapl)Is it Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA)Is it Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)and gold.

Based on the above, it may seem that Bitcoin is currently an unfair investment. But is that? Let’s take a closer look at the historical evidence of Bitcoin.

Given that Bitcoin started selling in 2009. In January, we now have a 16 -year history that needs to be examined. And huge evidence is that Bitcoin tends to trade in quite well -defined four -year cycles. The cycle begins in a constant phase of accumulation, which results in a growth phase that determines the bubble phase, which eventually ends in a sudden downturn or even an accident. At that time, the whole cycle starts again.

Image Source: Getty Images.

The most striking moment of each four-year cycle is Bitcoin half, which is going on-you have guessed for four years. Knowing when the latest halved event took place, it is relatively easy to know where Bitcoin is in any four -year cycle. This is because half reduces the Bitcoin signal from the growth phase to the bubble phase.

And that was so excited to me now. Based on historical evidence, the bubble phase lasts between 12 and 18 months. So let’s make mathematics. The latest Bitcoin halved in 2024. April, which means we have been in the cycle bubble phase for more than 12 months.

Thus, although all the lights at this time seem to blink green, there may be problems ahead. The time you care about Bitcoin is when everyone is convinced that Bitcoin is a Sam-Dunk investment. Here’s what’s going on now: retail investors buy every Bitcoin drop, corporations add Bitcoin to its balance and even the US government is trying to figure out a way to buy Bitcoin.

Still unconvincing? Then take a closer look at the Bitcoin chart from the previous four -year cycle, which includes 2020. May 11th. Halved. Over the next 12 months, 2021 April This eventually reached the price of $ 60,000.

But then Bitcoin suddenly collapsed to $ 30,000. At that time, most cryptocurrency observers seemed to be Bitcoin. The fourth phase of the historic cycle – the accident – looked as if it had come. However, as it turns out, Bitcoin has recovered again, regained the highest place of all time and by 2021. Ended to $ 69,000.

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After that you know the end of the story. Bitcoin collapsed again until 2022. November Decreased to $ 16,000. Then the whole cycle began again. The accumulation led to rapid growth in 2023 and 2024, which resulted in a 2025 January Bitcoin has reached another highest place of all time, resulting in 2025. At the beginning of the 19th century, Bitcoin briefly decreased to $ 75,000 in price level after recovering to reach another place of all time in May.

True, history is not always repeated. And it can be wrong to draw too many historical data lessons. But you have to admit one thing: 2025. The Bitcoin performance is infinitely similar to its results at the previous Bitcoin Bull market rally in 2021. Then his highest was the highest of all time, and followed by the whole new highest of all time.

Attempting to predict the future Bitcoin price is a fool in the near future. Usually, as soon as Bitcoin reaches a new high height of all time, it becomes much more volatile. Intrade price fluctuations become much more dramatic and the price of Bitcoin can dance everywhere.

For all investors and merchants who are convinced that Bitcoin will rise from here to $ 200,000, you have investors and traders saying that Bitcoin is going to return to $ 69,000. Almost the only thing you can predict about Bitcoin is a lot of volatility.

But even if Bitcoin follows the same four -year historical model described above, I don’t worry. It just means that I will have to wait for another four years to make an even more amazing profit from the fifth valuable assets of the world.

Consider this before buying a Bitcoin shares:

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Dominic Basult has Bitcoin positions. Motley fools are positions and recommend Apple, Bitcoin, Microsoft and Nvidia. The Motley fool recommends the following options: 2026. January 395 USD calls Microsoft and briefly 2026. January $ 405 Microsoft calls. The Motley fool has a disclosure policy.

Bitcoin New All-Time High: If the story is some guide, it happens below

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