Yes, $ 13.7 million

Requirement:

US President Donald Trump’s One Big Beautiful Account Law will complete health insurance cover 13.7 million people.

Rating:

Evaluation: Mixture

What’s true:

According to the pre -estimate of the Congress Budget Bureau, approximately $ 13.7 million. People until 2034. Lost health insurance for what he described as “the overall effects of certain actions”.

What’s wrong:

It is estimated that $ 8.6 million. People until 2034. Will spend health insurance on D. Trump’s direct budget accounts.

As a package of US President Donald Trump, known as One Big Beautiful Bill Act, 2012 In the middle of the 19th century, the Democrats said the law would reduce nearly 14 million people from Medicaid, government health insurance for low -income people.

“13.7 million people will lose health care due to their account,” Brendan Boyle, a US spokesman for Pennsylvania Democrats in the Committee (archived). His remarks clip from this writing (archived) received more than 30,000 sympathies.

Many other Democrats, including Alexandria representative of the New Yorkers, expressed similar requirements; Videos of their comments spread on social media platforms such as Buesky (archived). Some Democrats have also taken their social media and accused Republicans to reduce about 14 million American health insurance on platforms such as Facebook.

However, Democrats accused disproportionate quantities of the GOP bill. Although it is true that millions would lose health care if budget law adopted, a total of 2025 May 11th. A letter from the Congress Budget (CBO) would be closer to 8.6 million people.

CBO also calculated the same letter about how many people may lose health insurance over other political decisions, including if legislators allow Democratic policy to end as provided. The actions that were done together led to the CBO estimation that 13.7 million people could lose access to health insurance. So we appreciate the statement of democratic lawmakers as a mixture of truth and lies.

One A big beautiful account act passed Representative House 2025 May 22; This is not a law from this writing. It must pass the Senate and sign a short to become laws.

CBO GOP accounts estimates

2025 On May 11, 2007, at the request of democratic lawmakers, the Congress Budget Service evaluated the “combined effect on health insurance, resulting from certain actions”.

(Letter called “E&C Recommendations”, a reference to recommendations for reconciling the Energy and Commercial Budget for the US House of Representatives. Budget reconciling is a Congress process that accelerates the adoption of funding legal acts.).

“In total, we believe that laws will reduce the number of people with health insurance at least $ 8.6 million.

This number includes 7.7 million people under the letter who would lose coverage due to proposed changes to Medicaid in the law; For those Medicaid changes, see. D, Part 1.

Another estimated 900,000 beneficiaries would lose insurance for new suitability requirements for health insurance purchased under the AcA ACA (ACA). Republicans included those ACA requirements in the bill – see. 44201 section “Waste, fraud and abuse on the ACA Stock Exchange”.

Add $ 7.7 million. And 900,000 together to get 8.6 million, which are up to 2034. Lost health insurance for the Direct GOP Law, according to the CBO evaluation.

(The letter actually estimates that 1.8 million a total of 2034 due to the change of ACA rules will lose health insurance, but half of this number is already included in a separate estimate of 4.2 million participants discussed below the paragraph below

Where 13.7 million figures come from

Another 4.2 million. 2034 Lost health insurance over the expiry of “advanced premium tax credits”. Democrats for the first time established the “highest quality tax credit” in 2014. Law on Acquisition, also known as Obamacare. These tax credits help the right participants to pay for health insurance.

Although the original credit does not end, the Democrats have expanded the subsidies program as Covid-19, but have established expanded proposals as 2026. January 1, it is true that Republicans may extend this term, but it is not accurate to say that “big, beautiful law” ends with those tax credits.

Here is a CBO summary given in his letter (emphasized by us):

Total CBO values ​​that These three actions the number of people with no health insurance 2034 At least $ 13.7 million. That whole effect, 5 million—Ming from advanced premium tax credit and half of the intended impact of the market rule offered – expiry –already reflected in CBO initial projections.

In conclusion, add 4.2 million, 1.8 million. And $ 7.7 million.

However, it is by a Preliminary CBO estimate, not the final, did not assess how the interaction between these political proposals can affect how many people may lose health care. “We hope that this will increase the intended number of people without health insurance,” the CBO wrote in the letter.

The GOP account was also done changes Since the palace has passed it and is likely to experience even more changes when it reaches the debate in the Senate.

Sources:

“2025 market integrity and availability proposed rule | CMS.” Cms.gov2025 March 10, www.cms.gov/newsroom/Fact-heets/2025-marketplace-tengritity and afforibability-proped-rule. Accepted 2025. May 27

Arrington, Jodey. “Text – HR1 – 119 Congress (2025-2026): One big beautiful account act.” Congress.govwww.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1/text. Accepted 2025. May 27

Congress Budget Service. Subject: E&C Recommendations; 2025 On May 11, Democrats-energyCommerce.House.gov/sites/evo-subsites/democrats-energyCrace.House.gov/files/evo-media-document/cbo-emails-e-el%26c-reconcitation-cores Accepted 2025. May 27

“Improved the highest quality of tax credit shelf life: frequently asked questions.” Congress.govwww.congress.gov/crs-product/r48290. Accepted 2025. May 27

“The expected consequences of the draft law to provide for reconciliation in accordance with H. Con. 14 Title 14,” One Big Beautiful Bill Act “. Congress Budget Service2025 May 20, www.cbo.gov/publication/61420. Accepted 2025. May 27

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