Bank of America resets Nvidia stock forecast after key event

I ended last year with two in-depth articles about Nvidia. I thought when I was writing “What’s Next for Nvidia Stock in 2026” that there would be no more Nvidia news for a while.

Then Nvidia completed its investment in Intel, and I wrote “Nvidia Delivers on a Key 2025 Promise,” a detailed analysis of that collaboration.

I thought at that time that January would be quiet, but I was very wrong.

Nvidia decided to enter with its announcements during CES. It almost seems like the company has nothing left to reveal during its own GTC conference in March.

The company went so far as to reveal its next generation GPU – the Vera Rubin, which is something it would usually save for the GTC.

Why the rush? Is the bubble about to burst, or is AMD’s Helios rack system, due out this year as well, putting pressure on Nvidia?

I think AMD’s Helios and Google’s TPUs made Nvidia shift gears and it shows.

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang believes "ChatGPT’s moment for physical AI is here."Shutterstock-Glen Photo” loading=”eager” height=”540″ width=”960″ class=”yf-lglytj loader”/>
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang believes that “ChatGPT’s moment for physical AI is here.”Photo Shutterstock-Glen

Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya and his team attended Nvidia’s ( NVDA ) CES 2026 presentation and financial analyst Q&A session on January 5. Following the event, they updated their view on shares of NVDA in a research note shared with TheStreet.

The team said Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang noted that “very high” demand for AI computing continues and announced the new Vera Rubin AI platform.

  • AI scaling remains on track with 5x token generation and 10x cost reduction per year.

  • Six new AI chips have been announced for the Vera Rubin platform, scheduled for the second half of 2026.

  • The company unveiled a new bridge-level context memory storage platform.

  • Nvidia continues to run every major LLM today.

  • AI will be funded by modernizing AI and changing research and development methods.

  • The Groq/SRAM deal could be beneficial for extremely low-latency workloads.

  • AI extends beyond LLM into physical AI.

  • China’s demand for the H200 is there, but still awaiting licenses.

A knowledgeable and careful reader will notice that the analyst team must have overlooked the fact that Google Gemini 3 was trained and runs on Google’s own TPUs, as reported by CNBC.

The team said Nvidia’s continued dominance in AI computing, networking and the ecosystem trades at just about a 19 price-to-earnings multiple, or in line with the broader S&P 500, despite its superior CAGR of more than 35% EPS and free cash flow of more than 40%.

Arya reiterated a buy rating and price target of $275, based on its estimate of a 28 multiple for its price-to-earnings multiple, excluding cash for calendar year 2027, which is within Nvidia’s historical forward-year price-to-earnings range of 25 to 56.

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