If your July fourth barbecue this year felt a little more expensive, you can’t imagine things. Beef is really more expensive. As before, the price increase is due to the fact that all issues occur at the same time.
According to the US Department of Agriculture (USDA), the price of beef from 2025 The start of the beginning increased by more than 8%and in July it was 9.26 USD per pound. The beef is not much better – June. Reaching $ 6.10, which is almost more than 2024. The dollar, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
And no, the increase in price is not related to rates. As reported by Associated Press, one of the problems is the decline in American cattle supply, which has been declining for the last twenty years. She noted that since 2025 In the beginning of the 19th century, the US had 86.7 million cattle and calves – at least since 1951.
And that’s not all. As in 2024. At the end of the 19th century, food and wine were reported, and in Mexico, cattle a meat eating parasite, called the New World Bolts (NW) and spreading north, was found in Mexico. This was prompted by the U.S. Department of Agriculture Department Animal and Plant Health Checking Service (Aphis) to restrict the “imports of animal goods from Mexico or transition, immediately enter into force and wait for additional information from the Mexican veterinary authorities on the size and volume of infection”. And, as we predicted, this has fallen significantly to the US imported cattle, which already have much less cattle than last year.
“It happened overnight and in the environment where we already have strict accessories, we will get to a place where we will have stricter stocks,” said Charley Martinez, University of Tennessee from Tennessee University at the time. “You have a lot of feed for a lot of operators who now need cattle and they no longer have a supplier, and they will have to go out on sales barns and go for cattle … Well, it will actually increase demand increases and increase demand, prices increase.”
Here is one gaze of hope. At the beginning of July this year, USDA announced a new plan to breed millions of sterile flies at the Moore Air Base Texas, barely miles off the Mexican border and run with wild female flies to prevent them from putting eggs in cattle wounds, stopping the spread on its paths.
Then there is climate change. He noted that the three -year drought, started in 2020, dried up in many pastures, resulting in increased feed prices and forcing cattle ran to slaughter more cattle women to satisfy the need for beef, which in turn reduced their herd in later years.
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“For them, it is a balance to them, ‘Do I sell that animal now and take this record high check?” Or I keep it to understand the return of my productive life when she has calves? “AP said David Anderson, Animal Economist Texas A&M.” So this action of balancing, and so far has won it to sell it and receive a check. “
And if Trump’s rates happen, things can become even more expensive. Based on the National Beef Wire, most American cattle imports are from Canada, which is subject to a rate of 35%, followed by Mexico with a 30% rate. New Zealand and Australia face a 10% rate and Brazil faces rates up to 50%.
When it comes to when the prices will decrease again, they may have to wait for the fall as the weather and the demand for beef cool down. Usually after middle -aged beef prices usually fall, “David Anderson, an livestock and food marketing professor and economist Texas A & M, shared with USA Today.” Seasonally, I think we are likely to see lower prices than where we have been in the last few weeks. “
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