I predicted this ETF was a buy for passive income and it’s already up 13% in 2026. Is there more room to run?

Last November, I called on State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEMKT: XLP ) as my top high yield exchange traded fund (ETF) to buy for passive income. My investment thesis focused on the fund’s quality stock holdings and reliable passive income.

I didn’t expect that the ETF is already up 13.2% in 2026, compared to a gain of just 1.3% in S&P 500. Here’s why the seemingly boring consumer staples sector is hot, and why the Consumer Staples SPDR ETF remains a buy for broad exposure to it.

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Major holdings in the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF include Walmart, Costco Wholesale, Procter & Gambleand Coca cola. These aren’t the kind of stocks investors expect to see skyrocketing growth or make pioneering strides in artificial intelligence (AI). But they can be relied on to produce strong results regardless of what the economy is doing, and many such companies pay stable and growing dividends.

You may have heard the term Dividend King, which refers to companies that have paid and increased their dividends annually for at least 50 consecutive years—names like P&G, Coke, PepsiCoand Colgate-Palmolive. Consumer staples dominate the group, making up 15 of the 57 dividend kings.

But the consumer staples sector has been under pressure from falling customer spending, and many companies are struggling to pass on higher costs through price increases. In fact, consumer staples was the worst performing stock sector in 2025. This year, it is the third best performing sector.

^ Chart IXE
^ IXE data by YCharts.

Years of underperformance relative to the S&P 500 and a low valuation aren’t even the main reasons why the consumer staples sector is blowing up more in 2026. Rather, it has more to do with changing sentiment in growth-focused sectors like technology, communications and consumer discretionary. As such, the best performing sectors in 2026 were those focused on value and income, such as energy, materials, consumer staples and industrials.

As an example, Amazon and Microsoft they sold off after their last earnings reports and are down significantly year to date.

Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure are the two largest providers of cloud infrastructure services in the world. Amazon has announced $200 billion in capital expenditures (capex) in 2026, much of which goes to AI and cloud infrastructure.

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