Are Pinnacle Financial Partners (PNFP) Prices Reflecting Banking Sector Repositioning?

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  • If you’re wondering if Pinnacle Financial Partners’ current share price really lines up with fundamental value, you’re not alone.

  • Shares last closed at $95.09, down 2% over the past week and flat returns over the past month and year, while 3- and 5-year returns of 19.7% and 36.6% suggest a mixed ride for longer-term holders.

  • Recent news coverage of Pinnacle Financial Partners has focused on its positioning in the US regional banking space and how investors are thinking about banking stocks in general. These headlines help explain why sentiment around share prices has changed at different times over the past few years.

  • Pinnacle Financial Partners currently has a review score of 4/6, which means it is underrated on most of the checks we use. Next, we’ll compare several common valuation approaches, then finish with a way to look at valuation that can give you a deeper sense of whether stocks really fit your portfolio.

Find out why Pinnacle Financial Partners’ -23.0% return over the past year lags its peers.

The Excess Returns model looks at how much profit a company can make above the return required by shareholders, then capitalizes those “excess” returns into an intrinsic value per share.

For Pinnacle Financial Partners, the starting point is its book value of $88.65 per share and a flat EPS estimate of $11.59 per share, based on weighted forward estimates of return on equity from 10 analysts. The model uses a cost of equity of $7.32 per share, which implies an additional return of $4.27 per share. In other words, the earnings attributed to shareholders are greater than the earnings required to compensate for their risk.

The average return on equity is 11.02%, while the stable book value is projected at $105.24 per share, based on the estimates of 13 analysts. Combining these inputs, the Excess Returns model arrives at an estimated intrinsic value of approximately $220.83 per share.

Compared to the recent share price of $95.09, this suggests that the stock screens is significantly undervalued, with an intrinsic discount of approximately 56.9%.

Result: UNDERRATED

Our Excess Return analysis suggests that Pinnacle Financial Partners is 56.9% undervalued. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 874 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.

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